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Hurricane Center Works with Google on Storm Surge Warning

EM Bulletin May 08

Jun 1, 2008, By Jim McKay, Editor

Danger Zone
Americans may soon use Google to see whether their homes are threatened by a hurricane's storm surge, said the director of the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in March.

Storm surge, the massive wall of water carried inland by a hurricane, destroys homes in vulnerable coastal areas, and is a great threat to those who ignore evacuation orders.

NHC Director Bill Read said a planned program will pair a Google application with storm surge data that meteorologists have used for years. Together, the application and weather data will determine the flooding threat of any storm category.

"People can plug in their address and see at what level they are at risk," Read told the Reuters news service.
He said he hopes the program would be available in time for the Atlantic hurricane season, which begins June 1 and ends November 30.

Hurricane forecasters use a computerized model called SLOSH (Sea, Lake and Overland Surge from Hurricanes) that estimates storm surge heights by taking into account a hurricane's size, internal pressure, forward speed, track and wind strength.

The idea to make SLOSH models publicly available evolved from the phone calls that inundate local emergency managers and weather forecast offices every time a hurricane threatens: Read said people ask what flooding will be like at their homes.

"We're not going to know that off the top of our heads," he said. "So we can say, ‘Go to our Web site,' and it's there."

Hurricane forecasters will also offer a color-coded graphic this year on the NHC Web site, www.nhc.noaa.gov, that will indicate storm surge probabilities for threatened areas, similar to forecasts already available on wind speed probabilities. The graphic will indicate the probability of the surge reaching or exceeding 5 feet within a given number of hours, Read said.

It promises to help local emergency managers with key decisions, such as when to lock down bridges and what roads could be washed out or need to be cleared.


Students Still Iffy
Although text messaging systems have received much attention as a viable means of alerting students during a crisis, so far students have not embraced the idea, according to an Associated Press news report.

Hundreds of campuses have adopted text alerting (where students sign up for the alerts), but the enrollment rate among students and faculty is less than 40 percent, according to one provider of text alerting. According to another provider, enrollment was less than 30 percent.

Some students are concerned about giving out personal information, and others are indifferent, thinking a tragedy like last year's shootings at Virginia Tech will never happen to them. In fact, four in 10 students at Virginia Tech have still not signed up for text alerts, according to the report.

Experts said students will eventually gain confidence in text alerts, and they should be just one of many means of communicating with students and faculty.


Tower of Ash
In mid-March, a tower of ash rose hundreds of feet above the Kilauea volcano at Hawaii Volcanoes National Park, attracting residents and tourists who wanted to catch a glimpse of the first explosive eruption there in more than 80 years.

Because of a tenfold increase of sulfur dioxide emissions from the volcano, the state's health and civil defense officials were concerned about how the ash and gasses spewed from Kilauea may affect public health. Officials monitored the emissions and wind patterns just in case they moved toward the local population.

Another small explosion occurred on the morning of April 16, and civil defense officials advised nearby residents that sulfur dioxide levels "may be high enough to cause severe reactions [for] those in the sensitive groups, as


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