Answer: in about 45 years
Fears that machines programmed with artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities will first take human jobs and then take over the world may not be completely unfounded.
A survey conducted by the University of Oxford and Yale University polled 352 AI experts and looked at what the leading minds in machine learning think the timing will be for a variety of AI capabilities, as well as superiority over humans in occupations, superiority in all tasks and potential social impact.
The results might be somewhat concerning, depending on your feelings toward our future robot overlords.
The study found that in the next 10 years, AI will outperform humans in activities such as language translation (by 2024) and truck driving (by 2027). Beyond that, robots will soon be writing best-selling books (by 2049) and performing surgery (by 2053). Researchers predict there’s a 50 percent chance that AI will be better than humans at all tasks in 45 years, and that all human jobs will be automated in 120 years.