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Herd Immunity Is Likely Out of Reach

I just don’t see it happening at this point.

After listening to this The Daily podcast: “Why Herd Immunity Is Slipping Away,” I have become convinced that herd immunity in the near term will not happen.

See this podcast description:

“From the earliest days of the pandemic, herd immunity has consistently factored into conversations about how countries can find their way out of lockdowns and restrictions.

“Now, many experts believe that the United States may never reach the requisite level of immunity. We explore why, and what it might look like to live in a country where there is no herd immunity against the coronavirus.

“Guest: Apoorva Mandavilli, a science and global health reporter for The New York Times.”

I think when we gave up on masking, many people started thinking we had beat the disease. The impetus to get vaccinated will quickly wane, even though in Ohio they are doing vaccination lottery prizes of $1 million to motivate people to get vaccinated.

If we get close to 50-55 percent of the population, we’ll be lucky. Right now we are only at 30 percent of the total population. Adding age groups to the list will help, but my prediction is that the coronavirus will be with us moving forward.

I’m hopeful for an annual vaccination like the flu vaccine. That is the only comfort I personally have for the future.
Eric Holdeman is a contributing writer for Emergency Management magazine and is the former director of the King County, Wash., Office of Emergency Management.