Predictions are much harder when they involve the future!
I don't know any state emergency management director who wants to get sideways with his governor. You know who you work for and who's in charge. But ... you can find yourself diverging from the boss when politics and the desire to "do whatever I want," when that desire runs counter to the medical advice and science that has been providing the prognostication for your state's coronavirus response.
Much has been written about pandemic modeling during our current COVID-19 pandemic. A few thoughts for your consideration:
I'm a believer in predictions and projections. We depend on them for many aspects of our profession. What will the volcano do? What path will the hurricane take? How large will the magnitude be for a worst-case earthquake? What is the projection for severe storms and tornadoes?
Get real people -- we are using models and projections all the time!