With its track continually drifting west on course to sideswipe or make a direct hit, the storm set in motion the state’s first major hurricane drill in more than a decade.
From Westchester to Daytona Beach, lines formed around gas pumps and in supermarkets, windows boarded up and shelters readied. Miami-Dade and Broward counties canceled schools for the rest of the week and for the first time, Port Miami sealed its new $1.1 billion tunnel. In South Florida, drawbridges began locking down and national parks battened down. Florida Power & Light positioned teams anticipating major outages.
Nearly 8 million Floridians, not counting tourists, sat in Matthew’s potential path under a hurricane or tropical storm warning Wednesday evening.
With tropical storm-force winds expected to begin pounding parts of Florida as early as Thursday, President Barack Obama warned in a morning briefing that little time remains to prepare.
“This is a serious storm. It has already hit Haiti with devastating effect. It is now in the process of moving through the Bahamas,” he said. “By tomorrow morning, it will already begin to have significant effect in Florida, and then has the potential to strengthen and move on up the coast.”
At 5 p.m. EDT, Matthew was located about 205 miles south, southeast of Nassau, moving at 12 mph. Sustained winds reached 120 mph but are forecast to speed up to 130 mph as the storm moves over warm Bahamian waters over the next 36 hours. Matthew will likely continue pushing northwestward for the next two days, brushing Florida, or even making landfall, by Thursday evening.
Powerful storm surges could push water 5 to 8 feet high from the Sebastian Inlet north and 3 to 5 feet across Broward County and the Treasure Coast.
As Matthew’s track has continued to shift, forecasters have repeatedly warned that storms hugging the coast can prove difficult to predict. Even a slight turn can deliver major impacts.
“It’s geometry,” said former hurricane center director and WPLG hurricane specialist Max Mayfield. “If you draw the Florida peninsula and you have a track parallel to the peninsula like this one, just a five- to 10-degree change in motion is going to bring the core onto the coast.”
On its current track, Matthew should push across the Bahamas Wednesday and Thursday. Computer models show the storm swinging up the Florida coast on a path similar to Hurricane Floyd in 1999, a storm that vexed forecasters as it plodded along, repeatedly threatening to come ashore until it finally landed in North Carolina.
“The best model we had at time brought it inland … hitting Palm Beach and going right up the East Coast,” said Mayfield, a hurricane specialist at the time assigned to forecast the storm.
Matthew has so far been steered by the Bermuda High, said Weather Underground meteorologist Jeff Masters. Shifts and bulges in the seasonal weather pattern have repeatedly nudged Matthew’s forecast track west. On Tuesday and Wednesday, fluctuations caused computer models to spit out a long-range track that looked like a doomsday prediction: a looping track that had Matthew circling back for a second blow to Florida and the Bahamas.
If there’s any good news, Masters said, it’s that the storm would be a much weaker tropical storm if it does indeed strike twice.
As it churns across the Bahamas, Matthew is expected to deliver heavy rain and storm surge that could reach 15 feet in places, a dangerous threat to the flat islands.
Early Wednesday, Prime minister Perry Christie urged Bahamians to prepare for a “worst-case scenario.”
The country’s most populated island, New Providence, could take a direct hit, the first time a major hurricane has landed there since 1929.
Bishop Walter Honchell, a minister in one of Nassau’s poorest areas, said residents were very worried about their safety, particularly since they live in shabbily constructed housing.
“We pray that no lives are lost,” he said.
In Florida Gov. Rick Scott, who ordered state offices in 26 counties closed, flew around the state and met with emergency managers to repeat warnings. In briefings throughout the day, he urged residents on barrier islands prone to flooding to evacuate and not wait until the storm hits. About 500 national guard troops are on standby to help with evacuations, he said.
“This is a dangerous storm. It is never too early to evacuate,” he said.
Emergencies have been declared in four states — all of Florida and South Carolina, eastern and central North Carolina and southeastern Georgia.
In South Carolina, Gov. Nikki Haley ordered a complete evacuation of the state’s coast on Wednesday, amounting to more than 1 million of the state’s 4.8 million people.
“Our goal is to make sure you get 100 miles away from the coast,” Haley said.
On Tuesday, Matthew made landfall in western Haiti, causing severe flooding and wind damage, then pivoted and struck Cuba, packing 140 mph winds.
Washed out roads and damaged bridges in Haiti have made much of the Tiburon peninsula, where Matthew hit hardest, inaccessible. So far, five deaths have been confirmed, although authorities are still trying to assess damages. U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon said Wednesday at least 350,000 people “need immediate assistance,” and that his organization was working to quickly survey the country and provide help.
Photographs posted on Twitter and other social media Tuesday and Wednesday showed thick, raging flood waters overtaking bridges and spilling over riverbanks. Roofs were torn off homes and in some places the flooding was shoulder high.
The U.S. government said it was ready to provide relief and around 300 U.S. Marines set off on the USS Mesa Verde to assist Haiti, the Marines said in a tweet.
In Cuba, where more than 377,000 people were evacuated, the storm lashed Imias, Maisi and Baracoa in the easternmost province of Guantanamo on Tuesday night. At its peak, journalists from the radio station La Voz del Sol in Baracoa and television station Primada Vision reported walls shaking.
Storm surges of 10 to 13 feet, with waves as high 25 feet, triggered coastal flooding on the north coasts of Guantanamo and Holguin provinces. Cuba’s Institute of Meteorology also reported additional flooding from Las Tunas to Camaguey.
Cuban forecasters said rainfall of 4 to 6 inches was expected Wednesday with more in mountainous areas.
At Cuba’s Guantanamo Bay Navy base, which moved about 715 family members to the Florida panhandle, the base commander reported some downed trees. A section of the base also lost power. Troops were expected to be able to return home Wednesday.
———
(Miami Herald staff writers Julie K. Brown, Kyra Gurney, Chabeli Herrera, David Neal, Kristen M. Clark and Carol Rosenberg contributed to this report.)
———
©2016 Miami Herald
Visit Miami Herald at www.miamiherald.com
Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.
