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COVID-19, We Don't Know, What We Don't Know

The virus is so new, all the parameters of the virus are unknown.

The coronavirus COVID-19 is only about three months old, since it was first detected in China. How exactly does it spread, what populations are most affected, what mitigation measures are most effective and what medicines and treatment protocols work best?  

At present we are only guessing and grabbing at straws of information, see WHO chief warns 'we are in uncharted territory' as number of coronavirus cases worldwide passes 90,000.

I heard a portion of Dr. Jeff Duchin's remarks at a news conference yesterday. He is King County's epidemiologist, who I know well and respect greatly. He sounded "very uncertain" about the outbreak in King County/Washington state and the right path forward — exactly for the reasons I mention above and are alluded to in the title of the linked story above. 

To sum it all up, we don't know, what we don't know. In medicine, that is a science, we expect there to be some definitive answers to our questions. In this instance, those answers are not known yet. 

Lastly, I don't understand the WHO's reluctance to declare this disease a pandemic — NOW! But I think that will be forthcoming very soon.

Eric Holdeman is a contributing writer for Emergency Management magazine and is the former director of the King County, Wash., Office of Emergency Management.