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How Bad Is the Coronavirus?

When you are not known for truth, facts become difficult to assess.

by Eric Holdeman / February 9, 2020

Do you ever have trouble figuring out what an organization is based on its abbreviation? For instance, there is more than one organization called NEMA. AAPS is in the email I got the information in, but there is more than one AAPS.

I've been getting information on the coronavirus this is coming from the president of Doctors for Disaster Preparedness

I've taken that and pasted it below because it addresses the question of what the number. As we have seen from the Iowa caucus results, it can be hard to count, even for relatively specific purposes and smaller numbers.

The challenge for us and for China is that they have been known to fudge the numbers in the past. Then there is this news item that highlights a specific example of immediate past behaviors, China To Investigate After Whistleblower Doctor Dies From Coronavirus.

The above is a good reminder for our own government and how trust, once broken, is very hard to re-establish. Just look at Hong Kong and its reaction to the federal Chinese government. They were lied to in the SARS outbreak of 17 years ago and that has tainted their thinking and behaviors now. 

When you don't trust the government's numbers, it allows an opening for others to step in and make pronouncements — that may not be accurate — or just maybe, they are.

When people can't trust public pronouncements in the area of public health — you are on a slippery slope. It all starts with how you handle the mundane information you share every day. 

Read more before:

"The number of confirmed cases of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) has officially reached 30,877, with 636 deaths, according to the interactive map provided by Johns Hopkins CSSE (Center for Systems Science and Engineering). The “total recovered” is listed as 1,503. One can only guess about has happened or will happen to the other 28,748 cases.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) website states: The new coronavirus has “resulted in thousands of confirmed cases in China, including cases outside Wuhan City. Additional cases have been identified in a growing number of other international locations, including the United States.” The CDC has not posted first-hand reports from China. Have officials been allowed to visit?

Figures that transiently appeared on Tencent’s “Epidemic Situation Tracker” were 10 times higher than government reports, with the death toll reaching nearly 25,000. Just a “fat finger” mistyping? Or is there double bookkeeping?

Bodies transferred directly from hospitals are reportedly lined up at crematoria to await incineration.

 In other news:

  • The CDC will be sending test kits to some 100 testing stations in the U.S.
  • Panic buyers in Hong Kong are snapping up toilet paper, rice and pasta.
  • The origin of the 2019-nCoV is said to be from bats. The genetic makeup of the virus from Chinese patients is reportedly 96% similar to one found in bats. (The human genome is 98.8% similar to that of chimpanzees.) This does not rule out deliberate bioengineering.
  • Dr. Li Wenliang, a Chinese physician sanctioned for purportedly “spreading rumors” when he sounded an early alarm about a SARS-like illness cropping up in Wuhan, has died of the novel coronavirus.
  • Some medical supply stocks are soaring as suppliers run out of masks and gloves. China is a major producer of protective equipment and the sole source for many drug precursors."
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