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We Are in the Eye of the COVID-19 Hurricane

Being in the eye means it is quiet.

I have read several news items that have shared that the decrease in coronavirus cases is due to the increasing number of vaccinations being given. I don't think this is the reason. Actually, we are on the tail end of the holiday surge in cases and we are in a lull period. I expect two things will bring back a rip-roaring COVID-19 infection rate and corresponding hospitalizations and deaths:

  • The Super Bowl family gatherings that just happened
  • The now superspreading British variant of the virus
See this story: "Despite dip in Covid-19 cases, expert says US is in the 'eye of the hurricane' as variants spread."

I remember my sister and brother-in-law videoing Hurricane Irma, which they rode out. The eye of the storm went right over them in Naples, Fla., and the wind and rain stopped, and it was still and quite until the back end of the storm came roaring through. 

It is very deceptive, and to think of the relatively small proportion of vaccines distributed and injected into people's arms as being of major significance belies what is yet to come in the weeks ahead. 

The major impact of Super Bowl parties won't be felt until around March 11, a month from now, along with the replication of the British variant, which will then be in full swing. I would expect that April-May could well be two of our worst months of the pandemic to date. 

Eric Holdeman is a contributing writer for Emergency Management magazine and is the former director of the King County, Wash., Office of Emergency Management.
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