IE 11 Not Supported

For optimal browsing, we recommend Chrome, Firefox or Safari browsers.

Preparing K-12 and higher education IT leaders for the exponential era

Opinion: The Dynamic Link of Tariffs, Economics and Higher Ed

The economic uncertainty surrounding tariff policies and the potential of a global trade war could have ripple effects throughout higher education, including strained budgets, less tech investment and lost research.

A map of the world with a chain across it that has the words "trade war" in the center link.
Adobe Stock
Throughout history, governments have imposed tariffs to protect their domestic industries from foreign competition, with the goal of preserving jobs and promoting local manufacturing and services. However, while imposing tariffs can provide some short-term relief to specific business sectors, they can also lead to higher prices, inflation and higher costs for consumers. As Greg Iacurci wrote for CNBC in March, “Tariffs are simply inflationary.” They can also lead to other countries raising their own tariffs, which can easily escalate into global trade wars. Today there may be an important link between the results of tariffs on higher education, both positive and negative. In fact, higher education could potentially be an important positive asset during these uncertain economic times.

HISTORY OF TARIFFS


Tariffs in U.S. history can be found as far back as the Tariff Act of 1789, which was championed by Alexander Hamilton. The purpose was to promote trade and protect the growing American manufacturing industry, as well as raise substantial government revenue. With the dramatic increase of manufacturing in the late 1890s, coupled with the introduction of income taxes in the early 1900s, there was less of a need for high tariffs. After the 1929 stock market crash, the Smoot-Hawley Act of 1930 was enacted to protect businesses and farmers from economic calamity, and subsequently caused a dramatic reduction in trade between Europe and the U.S. Some economic experts felt this action exacerbated the economic downturn with the stock market crash. By the end of World War II, tariffs were substantially decreased and a global world trade grew. This year, the U.S. employed a new wide range of tariffs with the goals of bringing manufacturing jobs back, retaliating against other nation’s tariffs, reducing the theft of intellectual property, and balancing overall trade with other countries. The question is, how might this affect higher education?

EFFECTS ON HIGHER ED


The educational sector has already been going through a period of reduced government funding, higher costs, staffing shortages and the lasting effects of the pandemic. In addition, corporations began recruiting technologists from higher education jobs with attractive salaries and the ability to work remotely. Educational institutions have found it increasingly difficult to hire and retain their staff. Larger institutions with more financial independence could better handle these funding and staffing shortages, but smaller, financially strapped colleges had much more difficulty. With the introduction of tariffs in early 2025, higher education could experience a whole new set of challenges, including further governmental budget and program cuts, less public support and higher expenses.

As a trade war between China and the U.S. was heating up, prices for many items were set to increase. This has the potential of causing universities and colleges to reallocate resources, prioritize essential services and pause new initiatives. While there currently is a pause in the highest tariffs between the two countries, global uncertainty still exists. The unintended consequences of tariffs on higher education can be seen by straining budgets, increased tuition, and reduced research. Colleges may have to turn to endowments for additional funding. In a column earlier this month for the education consultant Ivy Scholars, titled “Are Tariffs Going to Impact College Expenses?” Sasha Chada pointed out that when tariffs cause stock market instability, it affects the endowment’s principal. Chada wrote, “When this happens, universities must either dip into the principal of the investments or look for alternate sources of revenue.”

TECH INDUSTRY AND HIGHER ED


As higher education technology budgets are further strained, it may become extremely difficult for them to pay for infrastructure and critical services, including cybersecurity and artificial intelligence. Universities need to carefully prioritize their technological investments. For tech companies, these increased costs for higher education could translate into less purchases of IT support and consulting, software licenses and hardware upgrades. Could higher education decide to reduce their use of Microsoft Azure services? Would there be less hardware purchases of Dell and Apple? Could there be less investments in cyber protection or AI development?

Decreasing tech purchases by higher education could cause lowered economic outlooks for corporate earnings as anxious investors look for clearer financial guidance. Less investments by higher ed can negatively impact the bottom line of many related businesses.

Universities which have large research-based footprints may experience prohibitive costs for imported materials and equipment, and the overall costs for research may continue to skyrocket. This may also dilute the ability for higher education to create and maintain domestic and international partnerships, and cause project delays or outright cancellations.

THE RIPPLE EFFECT


Beyond technology purchases, tariffs can create collateral damage to other university costs. Each year, colleges need to consider construction purchases, building furnishings, tuition and other segregated costs. As these costs continue to rise, future tuition revenues continue to decline. Universities and colleges may need to delay purchases and renegotiate contracts. Coupled with sweeping layoffs and closed offices within the U.S. Department of Education, there is an increased potential for a dramatic reduction in the available graduate pool. As Kathryn Palmer of Inside Higher Ed wrote in April, “Deep cuts to federal research funding and crackdowns on international students could mean far fewer graduate students next fall and beyond. If that happens, undergraduates, faculty and research productivity would all suffer.” Reducing the number of students trained in technology and research could negatively impact businesses that rely on these critical skills.

HIGHER ED'S BENEFIT TO BUSINESS


While some experts feel tariffs can be a helpful economic bargaining tool, it's important for our leaders to see higher education as an economic driver for the U.S. The education sector can help stabilize and increase investment in domestic technology companies. It can also provide critical research in innovation of AI and cybersecurity, making the U.S. much more strategically competitive in a global economy. With proper investments, higher education could be an economic engine that mitigates some of the downward risks of tariffs, while at the same time growing the U.S. economy, putting it in a much stronger position.
Jim Jorstad is Senior Fellow for the Center for Digital Education and the Center for Digital Government. He is a retired emeritus interim CIO and Cyber Security Designee for the Chancellor’s Office at the University of Wisconsin-La Crosse. He served in leadership roles as director of IT client services, academic technologies and media services, providing services to over 1,500 staff and 10,000 students. Jim has experience in IT operations, teaching and learning, and social media strategy. His work has appeared on CNN, MSNBC, Forbes and NPR, and he is a recipient of the 2013 CNN iReport Spirit Award. Jim is an EDUCAUSE Leading Change Fellow and was chosen as one of the Top 30 Media Producers in the U.S.
Sign Up Today

Don't miss a headline and stay on top of the latest EdTech trends.